Hydrogen Price Trend and Forecast
North America
In the North American market, Hydrogen prices
witnessed a declining trend throughout the fourth quarter of 2022 due to
fluctuating natural gas prices. Production levels remain firm in the USA as the
demand for green Hydrogen rose. The PEM electrolysis strategy has been more
economical than natural gas production. Despite the falling costs of natural
gas and oil, which caused high domestic market prices, Hydrogen use soared. The
demand from fertilizer and food sectors remained stagnant in the market at the
start of the quarter. Towards the quarter's end, the holiday and the occurrence
of storm Elliot hampered the operational rate of Hydrogen in the domestic
market. As a ripple effect, the Hydrogen (PEM Electrolysis) prices for FOB
California (USA) settled at USD 6746/MT.
Asia Pacific
During the fourth quarter of
2022, Hydrogen gas prices followed the stagnant trend in the APAC market on
downstream demand. The domestic market's fluctuations in natural gas prices had
a proportionate effect on the cost of production. The Indian holiday season
also caused a slowdown in consumption and production. The Indian government has
set key goals for the production and consumption of green Hydrogen. India uses
Hydrogen as its primary energy source, and in the middle of the quarter, the
demand for Hydrogen in the global market was also rather low. Green Hydrogen
would become economically competitive with natural gas-derived Hydrogen, claims
the Indian government's paper, Harnessing Green Hydrogen as an Opportunities
for Deep Decarbonization in India. Customers' modest demand for the product
negatively impacted hydrogen pricing in the Indian market.
Europe
In the European market, Hydrogen
prices witnessed a declining trend in the fourth quarter of 2022 due to
fluctuating Natural Gas Prices.
Hydrogen demand in the Netherlands market was modest in starting quarter and
declined towards the quarter end. The Netherlands market witnessed a train
strike towards the quarter end, hampering the demand-supply chain. The energy
crisis affected nations in Europe. The producers could supply feedstock;
therefore, there was not much demand from end users. The nation's need for oil
and fertilizers remained high in the domestic market. Production rates remained
steady throughout the quarter owing to stable volume offtakes from the
downstream market. The amount of stock in the market stayed the same. In
November, the supply forecast was not particularly favorable. Thus, the
discussions of Hydrogen PEM (Inc. Capex) prices for DEL Rotterdam (Netherlands)
settled at USD 20875MT.
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