Acrylonitrile Prices Trend and Forecast
North America
At the beginning of the fourth quarter, the Acrylonitrile prices trend remained firm, and prices rose marginally amid a rise in inflation and feedstock Ammonia prices during the sowing season. However, from the second month onwards, the product price trend shifted, and product prices declined due to a fall in the upstream costs. At the same time, the supply chain activities were disrupted due to the low water levels of the Mississippi and Ohio rivers, which increased the domestic inventory levels. Simultaneously, a decline in product demand from the downstream rubber and MMA producers due to reduced orders from the packaging and automotive sector reduced product offtakes. At the end of Q4, Acrylonitrile prices in the USA settled at USD 1525/MT.
Asia
The Acrylonitrile price trend
fluctuated during Q4 2022. For the first couple of months, prices increased in
the Asian region. Initially, the ACN production rates remained hampered due to
the limited feedstock Ammonia supplies by the Russian exporters. While during
the mid-quarter, Truck strikes near the Busan port in South Korea affected the
product supplies to Asian importers. However, in the final month of Q4, the
price trend shifted, and prices declined because of destocking practices by the
regional producers at the end of the year of South Korea and Japan amid a
decline in global freight charges in the international market. At the end of Q4
2022, Acrylonitrile prices in South Korea settled at USD 1300/MT.
Europe
The Acrylonitrile price trend
shifted during Q4 of 2022. For the first couple of months, prices rose amid
affected production rates amid reduced feedstock production rates due to input Natural Gas Supply
shortages because of an explosion at the Beixi pipeline. During the
mid-quarter, an increase in the feedstock Propylene prices raised the
production costs. However, in the final month of the quarter, the ACN price
trend shifted, and prices declined producers by reducing their profit margins
to improve product offtakes. Simultaneously cost support was reduced due to a
decrease in input costs and ease in the global freight charges. At the end of
the quarter, Acrylonitrile prices in the Netherlands hovered at 1461/MT.
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