Stainless Steel (Flat) Prices Trend and Forecast
North America
Stainless
Steel prices in the US market remained stable in Q1 2023 due to steady
demand from the construction industry, despite the financial turmoil in the US
banking industry. Mill margins were under pressure due to rising input costs
and the use of more scrap in furnaces. Stainless steel inventories were slow to
deplete despite a significant drop in imports, and cautious buyers kept mills
open to individual, non-contract negotiations. Multiple buyers were going
through order books to decide how to approach buying over the next few months,
as many were concerned that pricing could peak and fall off in the late second
quarter and the second half of the year. As a result, SS 304 HR Plate prices
for Ex Texas settled at USD 3990/MT.
Asia Pacific
In the Chinese market, the
Stainless Steel (Flat) prices were bearish due to high inventory levels and
subdued downstream construction demand. Stainless steel manufacturers issued
limited goods last quarter, and this quarter's supply release is expected to be
sparse. Despite post-holiday optimism, some large stainless-steel mills
scheduled production with caution due to scarce raw materials. Spot
transactions were slow, and overseas demand was weak. Although prices fell
slightly in March, they remained higher than spot transaction prices, and the
majority of buyers were waiting for further price drops. Increased production
has also dampened demand, and March was a challenging month for sellers.
However, price recovery is expected after the second week of April.
Europe
In Q1 of 2023, the Stainless
Steel (Flat) prices in German market showed a stagnant price
trend due to limited supply and firm downstream inquiries. Spot supply of raw
material pure nickel from the overseas market was limited, leading to subdued
upstream demand for coil and downstream demand for tube and sheet in northern and
southern Europe. European mills' attempts to increase flat prices mostly
failed, with most countries showing stable values compared to January, May, and
June lead times being quoted. Some market players saw normal consumption
returning following the post-pandemic rush, while others considered keeping
prices stable a significant achievement and believed that the flats market
would not absorb any hikes. Downstream demand was sluggish, with falling prices
observed. Mills, service centers, and re-rollers predicted a negative April due
to low consumption during the seasonally short month of Easter.
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